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	<title>mattAdkins[dot]com &#187; economics</title>
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		<title>&#8220;What is going on is a financial panic, not an economic collapse&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://www.matt-adkins.com/commentary/what-is-going-on-is-a-financial-panic-not-an-economic-collapse/</link>
		<comments>http://www.matt-adkins.com/commentary/what-is-going-on-is-a-financial-panic-not-an-economic-collapse/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 19:31:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[finance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.matt-adkins.com/archives/54</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Writer Gregg Easterbrook brings the overlooked details of college &#38; NFL football to our attention every Tuesday, but usually there&#8217;s a fair amount of non-sports commentary sprinkled in as well. Recently he&#8217;s been pointing out some of the misconceptions of (&#8230;)</p><p><a href="http://www.matt-adkins.com/commentary/what-is-going-on-is-a-financial-panic-not-an-economic-collapse/">Read the rest of this entry &#187;</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Writer <a target="_blank" href="http://search.espn.go.com/gregg-easterbrook/">Gregg Easterbrook</a> brings the overlooked details of college &amp; NFL football to our attention every Tuesday, but usually there&#8217;s a fair amount of non-sports commentary sprinkled in as well. Recently he&#8217;s been pointing out some of the misconceptions of the financial &#8220;crisis&#8221;:</p>
<blockquote><p>What is going on is a financial panic, not an economic collapse.<br />
Financial panics are no fun, especially for anyone who needs to cash<br />
out an asset right now for retirement, college and so on. But financial<br />
panics occur cyclically and are not necessarily devastating. The most<br />
recent financial panic was 1987, when the stock market fell 23 percent<br />
in a single day. Pundits and politicians instantly began talking about<br />
another Depression, about the &#8220;end of Wall Street.&#8221; The 1987 panic had<br />
zero lasting economic consequences &#8212; no recession began, and in less<br />
than two years, stocks had recouped all losses. (See John Gordon&#8217;s<br />
excellent 2004 book on the history of financial panics, &#8220;An Empire of<br />
Wealth.&#8221;) Perhaps a recession will be triggered by the current<br />
financial panic, but it may not necessarily be severe.</p></blockquote>
<p>And there&#8217;s also some reassuring words from (gulp) Ronald Reagan:</p>
<blockquote><p>We&#8217;ve also fallen into panic because we pay <i>way</i> too much<br />
attention to stock prices. Ronald Reagan said, &#8220;Never confuse the stock<br />
market with the economy.&#8221; Almost everyone is now making exactly that<br />
mistake. The stock market is not a barometer of the economy; it is a<br />
barometer of what people think stocks are worth. These are entirely<br />
separate things. What people think stocks are worth now depends on<br />
their guess about what stocks will be worth in the future, which is<br />
unknowable. You can only guess, and thus optimism feeds optimism while<br />
pessimism feeds pessimism.</p></blockquote>
<p>You can read the <a target="_blank" href="http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=easterbrook/081014&amp;sportCat=nfl">full article</a> (which also dwells on how <a target="_blank" href="http://www.usatoday.com/sports/football/nfl/2008-09-21-dolphins-patriots_N.htm">awful the Patriots have become</a>) <a target="_blank" href="http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=easterbrook/081014&amp;sportCat=nfl">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Hidden Cost Of War</title>
		<link>http://www.matt-adkins.com/commentary/hidden-cost-of-war/</link>
		<comments>http://www.matt-adkins.com/commentary/hidden-cost-of-war/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Oct 2008 18:30:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[visualization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Fantastic (-ly depressing) video from GOOD Magazine: [spotted at shape+colour ]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Fantastic (-ly depressing) video from GOOD Magazine:</p>
<div class="youtube-video"><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/1OT5uw1Fb_0&#038;rel=0&amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&#038;color2=0xcfcfcf&amp;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/1OT5uw1Fb_0&#038;rel=0&amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&#038;color2=0xcfcfcf&amp;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object></div>
<p>[spotted at <a target="_blank" href="http://shapeandcolour.wordpress.com/2008/09/26/goodmagazine-the-hidden-costs-of-war/">shape+colour</a> ]</p>
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